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Who is going to win the US mid-term elections? | The Economist

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Democrats in the age of Trump: https://youtu.be/ynYTVRVHddg Can the Democrats take back the House of Representatives from the Republicans? In what is perhaps the most significant mid-terms ever, The Economist's Data Editor gives our prediction on who is going to win. Click here to subscribe to The Economist on YouTube: https://econ.st/2xvTKdy Daily Watch: mind-stretching short films throughout the working week. For more from Economist Films visit: http://films.economist.com/ Check out The Economist’s full video catalogue: http://econ.st/20IehQk Like The Economist on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/TheEconomist/ Follow The Economist on Twitter: https://twitter.com/theeconomist Follow us on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theeconomist/ Follow us on Medium: https://medium.com/@the_economist
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Text Comments (1227)
waptek2 (2 months ago)
2018 elections gave a republican Senate & democrat House
Hermaphrodite Community (2 months ago)
he is the right man for the U,S he,ll protect USA and make america great again
Toxic Gamer777 (2 months ago)
this man needs to go to trump to get a ugly orange tan cause this man is milk white rn...
Frank Mehrer (2 months ago)
This guy looks like he hasnt slept in 40 years
Joseph DuPont (2 months ago)
you commie bastard.. how did you predict the2016 election???
TotallyNotCool (2 months ago)
This man. I like him
Humble Servant (2 months ago)
Trump of course!
Theresa Bettle (2 months ago)
Poor kid looks like he is about to vomit 🤮
Mohamed Khalifa (2 months ago)
Hopefully Trump
hitruth (2 months ago)
why do people watch a Rothchild backed presentation???bye
Daniel Johnson (2 months ago)
I kind of thought this was a parody and I was waiting for the joke... dude needs sleep.
Mishn0 (2 months ago)
Your last sentence says it all. A 2% liberal bias in the polls is a very believable possibility.
RJ H (2 months ago)
You work your fucken tits off till 9.45pm, straight after work you're at a bar for drinks with corporate buddies, perhaps a few hours of some serious blow action, by 2am a couple of the best whores in Manhattan are sucking your balls in different directions. Then its a couple of hours sleep, show up at work and the boss goes 'kid, you got a presentation'. How prepared would any of us look?
Pavel Kochba (2 months ago)
US Assholes: We haven't found any signs of Russian interventions. That means they have to be using more suphisticated methods :D :D :D
Pavel Kochba (2 months ago)
+537monster And I am not blaming specifically one organisation. Behind "Assholes" there are media corps, politicians, lobbists, both presidental candidates, ignorants and others. Or how would you call prople, who attacked the same country (Iraq) both times with just fabricated fairy tales (Nayirah, WMDs, Kuwait arab-arab conflict, not our problem)?
537monster (2 months ago)
Pavel Kochba oh my god, the intelligence agency’s didn’t say that. They actually advised the government NOT to go into Iraq. I know this because I’m in the Army MI corps and have met people who worked with the CIA around that time. Powell’ was forced to make that conclusion by Cheney, Bush, and Rumsfeld (fuck his name, I don’t feel like looking it up). Politicians were the ones who lied, NOT THE CIA.
Pavel Kochba (2 months ago)
​+537monster Actually I did. Maibe I am not just as naive to believe in every fairy tale they told me. They also said Saddam has new WMDs, they said Russia surely poisoned Skripal, Iran is great theat and so many other things. So what?
537monster (2 months ago)
My god, you just haven’t looked at any news at all have you? You’ve just decided to be ignorant because it fits you’re views. Nobody can help you.
Perihelion77 (2 months ago)
American polling is wack. Period. American politics are silly and childish in the extreme. Also...use some make up. It can do wonders.
Suzu M (2 months ago)
I could be wrong, but my impression is that he really, really hopes Trump loses. The way he listed every thing the Dems want to do to Trump, and why Trump NEEDED this win.
Kevin Myco (2 months ago)
who in their right mind would vote blue AT ALL?!
Firecrest (2 months ago)
Surely and I know I'm being naive but if the president has done something illegal it shouldn't make any difference whose elected. Also is he really suggesting the Republicans would gerrymander to get votes.
shixin zhang (2 months ago)
If the Democratic Party wins the election, the United States will face the largest trade deficit in history and the highest unemployment rate in the United States
Miter Sangeeta (2 months ago)
Vitamin D deficiency says Trump is going DOWN!!
Tyler Morin (2 months ago)
This guy looks like he needs a nap. 😭💤💤 *and not bc of his low key dem supportive undertone.. 🤔... but... bc them bags under his eyes along with his "idgaf and didn't wanna do this video anyway" word stumble during the last 10 seconds of this video, makes me tired just by watching him. -he looks like he could do a damn good job on my taxes thoooo 😏👍🏼
Douglas Matsen Guest (2 months ago)
Somebody get this guy a stylist!
Bruce Snell (2 months ago)
PRAYING Jesus Christ, Jesus show yourself mighty to your people, Lord there seems to be no way out, no way to fix things, no ways of solution, but Jesus you are the solution, you are the truth, you are the love and forgiveness, you are the author and finisher of all great things. Jesus if you can raise a nation up and take it down in a day, then Jesus can you not heal our nation and our people.Yes you can,we praise the name of Jesus. Jesus, quickly reveal yourself to us, that is best for each one of us, touch us the only place that you know and can touch, Jesus can you not minister individually to each person, the only way that they can be ministered to,. Jesus are you not greater than any and all calamity and evil, Jesus where a man sees no way out, your spirit testifies that you Jesus, you are the only way out. Jesus you are the author and finisher of all things, great and small. Jesus help us receive your perfect and perfecting love and forgiveness of the cross. Jesus you told me that if we could fully receive and understand the love and forgiveness of the cross, we would be transformed as a new spirit, a useful witness for Christ Jesus. Jesus we pray that you answer this prayer, that we receive THE FULL PORTION,of your perfect love and forgiveness of Jesus Christ.Jesus we praise your perfect love and forgiveness. Jesus we pray for personal and professional revival Lord Jesus not only does it have to happen in our heart, it has to happen in our family and in our workplace,,, Lord bring us to where your people are, there's no greater ministry then in our own families in our own workplace, Jesus show us the way to your fullness. Jesus you said, to pray for the greatest gift to prophesy to strengthen, encourage and comfort our people, to help raise them up. Jesus we repent of godless chatter, a lack of faith. Jesus we need the faith the size of a mustard seed to plant our faith at the altar,Jesus you will grow our faith. Jesus help us be the great communicators of your love and forgiveness, your faithfulness. Jesus Christ we pray that you come quickly, we need you and praise your mighty name, Jesus our Lord and Savior. Jesus come quickly, Jesus we cry out for repentant heart and spirit, seeking the perfect love and forgiveness, found only in Christ Jesus. Jesus is not the simple gospel, can be as simple as, the perfect and perfecting love and forgiveness of Jesus Christ. Jesus is this not available to all people saved and unsaved. Jesus we pray for this great awakening, correction, direction pointing to Christ Jesus, as Lord and Savior. The name of Jesus is above all names, the name of Jesus identifies the God we serve, the God that can save, forgive us of our sins, and love us into eternity now and forever. Jesus cannot the zeal of the Lord accomplish this great revival, harvest this great harvest and free our people, from captivity of the world and the evil one. Jesus not all is lost, but always gained, we hear that this is the greatest time and harvest, that the world will ever see. Jesus, Jesus, quickly come. Jesus we are standing in victory and not in defeat, because the victory was won on the cross let us praise your great name the name above all names, Christ Jesus our Savior and Lord, amen and amen. I AMen
Chris laflamme (2 months ago)
This noob said at least one honest thing. That democrats have mostly moved to big cities and republicans to spread out country areas. Exactly, the left go where there's free handouts and welfare, the right go where they can be left alone more as they take care of themselves.
SteveKY (2 months ago)
This kid has good information, but it is still leaning to Republicans. He is Wrong, wait till tomorrow afternoon. I predict Blue like we have not seen in 50 years...
Rezki Kahina (2 months ago)
NOTICE AT THE END HE USE THE ARTICLE FOR "THEM" REFERING TO THE REPUBLICAN PARTY. AS OPPOSED TO US , THE DEMOCRATIC PARTY. TALK ABOUT UNBIASED. POLLS WERE WRONG IN 2016 AND THEY WILL BE WRONG AGAIN THIS TIME AROUND. THE JEWS WILL NOT REPLACE US.
Ronster23117 (2 months ago)
He erred in one aspect. Conservatives leave areas where Liberals roost and ruin, then congregate in areas with like-minded individuals. We still have "rights of association"...If Liberals want to congregate in cities and ruin them, then that's on them. But they'll continue to whine and find ways to strip and control conservatives because that's what they do. Unfortunate for them, we not folding anymore...
TWNTYFIVE (2 months ago)
Y’all need to up your production
shellielove Hudson (2 months ago)
Some people have dark eyes like that. Mine are like that too. Or it could be medication. Pain meds made my eyes dark too
Somerled of Scotland (2 months ago)
Get rid of all these liberals!!
TheJoeman11 (2 months ago)
The Economist just gave the middle finger to the electoral vote? Wow, no bias there!
Jim Beck (2 months ago)
The problem is they didn’t factor in Project Veritas exposing the democrats for the liars they are. These guys are no better at polling then choosing presenters. Republican with 219.
Conchita Reyes (2 months ago)
Read this article before you vote. THIS IS THE REASON WHY TRUMP'S DEPLORABLE FOLLOWERS BELIEVE ALL HIS LIES, STUPIDITY, ETC. THEY LOVE HIS RACISM, HIS HATE, HIS INCITING TO VIOLENCE, HIS MISOGYNY, HIS BIGOTRY, ETC. TRUMP IS THEIR "CONFEDERATE PRESIDENT !!"' Please, share! https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2018/nov/04/the-american-civil-war-didnt-end-and-trump-is-a-confederate-president
W. C. Pandala (2 months ago)
This kid forgot to comb his hair.
Peaceful Flower (2 months ago)
To the guy in the video - you need to get some sleep, your eyes look sleepy
Randy Bell (2 months ago)
Tapper for Trump.
Randy Bell (2 months ago)
The Republicans will win everything, watch and see.
_Sky_ (2 months ago)
I will laugh so hard if the Democrats end up 1 seat short of a majority. (I am not even from the USA, nor am I a big Trump fan) But ever since Trump became a president the politics is so much fun.
Lamar Smith (2 months ago)
District lines ? Seriously, dude? Demonrats have been doing that in urban areas for decades...oh, that and using dead peoples voting registrations. While I am at it, why dont you take a nap and grab a hot shower before appearing on camara. Knobhead.
rvka rvka (2 months ago)
Nobody knows
mikeinbc (2 months ago)
Looking into my crystal ball I see a mob of far left lunatics screaming into the night time sky. The Republicans will sweep the mid-terms.
Thomase Synek (2 months ago)
If the economist as left as the BBC and the guardian, then the Republicans will win, the British are living in cloud cuckoo land as far as judging the voters mood. I see England I see Birmingham as the future and they don't, so much for their projections.
Ass Nasty (2 months ago)
Twitchy autist
Lardass Hogan (2 months ago)
The Economist is pure fiction. This idiot admitted that his so-called model is not robust enough if there is only a 2% variation in polling.
Charles Warren (2 months ago)
I'm voting republican.
Joyce Koch (2 months ago)
Get outside in the sun kid and get some physical exercise. You look worse than Gerald Celente.
Gary Mix (2 months ago)
Lol this dude must be on crack
ColossalCollective (2 months ago)
More protein and sun.
David Hargreaves (2 months ago)
Did he look in the mirror before making this video?......
Dennis Dolley (2 months ago)
I would throw that computer in that calculus thing away cuz it's wrong go red
SydMint (2 months ago)
Guys can you stop with the crappy comments about him looking tired, the report was one of the few on here that was a little more even straight forward and fact based for once. Newscasts would normally use better lighting and make up for video production, they've been lazy taking him to a side office with crappy lighting and just told him to stand there - I don't think the production team did him any favours with this one, but based on the engagement response rate and views I want this man as a staple for the Economist, he's keeping it real and I think we're all tired of news agencies talking to themselves. And everyone in journalism looks like this with a deadline, welcome to the real world people :)
537monster (2 months ago)
I was about to poke fun at him, but then I saw the overabundance of comments about his appearance and figured it would just be overkill.
SydMint (2 months ago)
Thank you for the great break down of the mid terms, always nice to get a more fact driven report :)
Pam Jaeger (2 months ago)
the only polling that works ....is no poll at all. people lie, or they don't answer the freaking phone. how you gonna find out for sure how people are gonna vote? you can't. just wait til election day you dimwits.
Tasneem Ahmed (2 months ago)
Long lives
Naedeslus (2 months ago)
He looks like he's going to pass out half way through the video.
Mitch Batten (2 months ago)
Need to gain a few pounds before putting on Dad’s suit and the froggy voice is irritating.
Potting Soil (2 months ago)
What on earth happened to this man?
MrQbenDanny (2 months ago)
The dark circles under your eyes say more about what's going to happen to the Democrats than anything else you said in code to justify it.
Pamela Rice (2 months ago)
Voting AGAINST incumbent Senator Kirsten Gillibrand of New York..... Voting PRO-TRUMP... for: CHELE FARLEY (Republican)
Umberto Errechitto (2 months ago)
Election fraud is the key to victory over the UN, banksters, deep state, illegal immigrant voters and the criminal democrats.. All of the cabal forces are involved in election fraud, therefore, like the human trafficking, we have their Achilles Heel before us. Now all we need to do is seize the election ballots, arrest anyone who tries or does destroy them immediately, and have a nationwide recount, sorting out the fraudulent ballots. Then detain, prosecute, incarcerate, seize all assets. If a corrupt Judge interferes, arrest, detain....  simply ignore counting destroyed democrat ballots as not verifiable.
James Meoi (2 months ago)
ok Ralph meet me here for your predictions. Bet you dont show 😂😂😂
Charles Darwin (2 months ago)
the economist is a liberal fraud
greg20067 (2 months ago)
the music in the background is like really bad elevator music
ralph lee (2 months ago)
Wait Until Late Tuesday Night When it's Finalized That Trump Holds On To Both The House and Senate, and Picks Up Governors Along The Way. The Liberal News Media Will All Be Crying on TV Again, and The Antifa Snowflakes Will Be Causing Violence and Crying In The Streets !  I hope The Cops Have To Fuck-Up Them Up To Teach Them a Lesson.
Jim Smith (2 months ago)
Where is Daryl with the crossbow when you need him?
bc azur (2 months ago)
when we see how democrats have been smearing Kavenaugh with false accusers, this highlight that they have become too radical and extremist to give them the power and they are capable of anything to get the power! too dangerous for democracy
Elijah cesspoole (2 months ago)
https://youtu.be/L0ZEGt6j-qo
Woodchipper nationalism (2 months ago)
You can stuff those polls where the sun dont shine, republicans will keep the house, and gain in the senate.  if im right i get your job and pension ?
Lets find a nickname (2 months ago)
Mike Pence of course 😅😅
Art Curious (2 months ago)
Models show Democrats taking 229 seats but even a 2 point error in favor of Republicans could change the landscape. Very interesting. The problem with computer models is that they stand or fall on the accuracy of the data. One forgotten variable or oversight completely ruins the models prediction. Whether it’s predicting flu season, climate change, or hurricane forecasts. Early voter turnout and voter enthusiasm is very high this year and Republicans have been closing the enthusiasm gap over the last 2 months. I see a 218 to 217 final result.
Achban Ilacran (2 months ago)
So the republicans will win, huh? we're so f.....
S.T Browne (2 months ago)
It's going to be a "RED WAVE."
DamnImSmart (2 months ago)
Typical Liberal spewing typical NPC nonsense!! This is the same retard that said Clinton would win. LOL!!
B Palmer (2 months ago)
Only way to cure the disease of trumpism is with bullets.
BuonoBruttoCattivo77 (2 months ago)
This man needs to lay off the caffeine, get some deep sleep, and take a mental break.
David Purcell (2 months ago)
#walkaway
Gord M (2 months ago)
Excellent information. Well done!
Derrick Zupf (2 months ago)
dan's higher than a motherfucker...
Jim Yost (2 months ago)
The following are four famous quotes that really do sum up the voting scam: "Presidents aren't elected, they're Selected." Franklin D. Roosevelt. "We hang the petty thieves and appoint the great ones to public office." Aesop "It's not who votes that counts, it's who counts the votes that counts." Joseph Stalin "If voting made any difference they wouldn't let us do it." Mark Twain. So I like to refer to the voting day in November as "November fool's day." :O)
nivnah101 (2 months ago)
My dude has borrowed his dads suit and ain’t slept in days 😂
Ralphie Johnson (2 months ago)
What a joke this kid is.
NDFOOTBALL (2 months ago)
Vote the democrats out of office
Jim Beam (2 months ago)
Bro, do a better job next time. Wait, there will be no next time.
Robert Wilson (2 months ago)
End gerrymandering!
Mike Poznanovich (2 months ago)
Excellent well done
Larry Dakin (2 months ago)
Blue drizzle red flood lol🤣🤣🤣🤣
Chuck Father of Rock (2 months ago)
So what you’re telling me is that the Republican Party is corrupt? And as soon as they Democrats win the majority and they redraw the lines, we’ll find out how corrupt they are too? I am so shocked. Really, my draw dropped.
logan pollock (2 months ago)
Mister editor, here is flaw in your prediction model. You take data from this person and data from that person then you feed it into your computer without ever having left your office to actually meet and talk to a real voter. It didn't work the last time and it's not working this time. There is a real simple statistical method which I have explained numerous times. Make yourself a giant chart and put as many names of political commentators as you can. Every time one is wrong, put a red mark. Every time one is right, put a black mark. Do not confuse agreeing or disagreeing with right or wrong. Separate yourself from your ideology, religion, beliefs, sexual preference, etc, and get scientific about this. I did it years ago and came up with Ann Coulter as being the most statistically accurate predictor. She said Mitt Romney would get the Republican nomination and she was absolutely right. She said that Trump was the only Republican that could beat Hillary(right again). Jesus said that there will always be war, poverty and injustice in the world so seek for truth and only truth, folks.
Shawn D (2 months ago)
Doesn't matter who wins,,,the US citizens are the ones who lose!!! Time to change that shit!!!!
vidkidxyz (2 months ago)
The Left will be erased ! We will build The Wall.... and then The Camps ! HEIL TRUMP ! PRAISE KEK ! CRUSH THE LEFT !
david cook (2 months ago)
Trumps pussy grab remarks to little Billy Bush was to reassure the little guy. You gorgeous women don't realise how terrifying you can be to a testosterone fuelled guy.
Active Guard (2 months ago)
Hillary Clinton was projected as a 98.5% favourite to win the presidency on election night, based on polling. How can anyone trust polls? I don’t know of a single person I’ve ever met who participated in a “poll”.
NaniCastor (2 months ago)
He looks exhausted ! 🙄
klaatu barada nikto (2 months ago)
so the system is rigged in favour of republicans...who'd have thought...
StreetSmartGuys (2 months ago)
Vote Red, May God Bless...... Trump who is the greatest president in my life time.
AlanBalls shinpad (2 months ago)
Bollocks
Blue Matrix (2 months ago)
I am an independent , but the Democrats and liberals are becoming mean and fascist.
Khal Drogo (2 months ago)
DONALD J. TRUMP, PRESIDENT FOR LIFE! KEEP AMERICA GREAT! DONALD J. TRUMP, PRESIDENT FOR LIFE! KEEP AMERICA GREAT! DONALD J. TRUMP, PRESIDENT FOR LIFE! KEEP AMERICA GREAT! DONALD J. TRUMP, PRESIDENT FOR LIFE! KEEP AMERICA GREAT! DONALD J. TRUMP, PRESIDENT FOR LIFE! KEEP AMERICA GREAT! DONALD J. TRUMP, PRESIDENT FOR LIFE! KEEP AMERICA GREAT! DONALD J. TRUMP, PRESIDENT FOR LIFE! KEEP AMERICA GREAT! DONALD J. TRUMP, PRESIDENT FOR LIFE! KEEP AMERICA GREAT! DONALD J. TRUMP, PRESIDENT FOR LIFE! KEEP AMERICA GREAT! DONALD J. TRUMP, PRESIDENT FOR LIFE! KEEP AMERICA GREAT! DONALD J. TRUMP, PRESIDENT FOR LIFE! KEEP AMERICA GREAT! DONALD J. TRUMP, PRESIDENT FOR LIFE! KEEP AMERICA GREAT! DONALD J. TRUMP, PRESIDENT FOR LIFE! KEEP AMERICA GREAT! DONALD J. TRUMP, PRESIDENT FOR LIFE! KEEP AMERICA GREAT! DONALD J. TRUMP, PRESIDENT FOR LIFE! KEEP AMERICA GREAT! DONALD J. TRUMP, PRESIDENT FOR LIFE! KEEP AMERICA GREAT! DONALD J. TRUMP, PRESIDENT FOR LIFE! KEEP AMERICA GREAT! DONALD J. TRUMP, PRESIDENT FOR LIFE! KEEP AMERICA GREAT! DONALD J. TRUMP, PRESIDENT FOR LIFE! KEEP AMERICA GREAT! DONALD J. TRUMP, PRESIDENT FOR LIFE! KEEP AMERICA GREAT! DONALD J. TRUMP, PRESIDENT FOR LIFE! KEEP AMERICA GREAT! DONALD J. TRUMP, PRESIDENT FOR LIFE! KEEP AMERICA GREAT! DONALD J. TRUMP, PRESIDENT FOR LIFE! KEEP AMERICA GREAT! DONALD J. TRUMP, PRESIDENT FOR LIFE! KEEP AMERICA GREAT! DONALD J. TRUMP, PRESIDENT FOR LIFE! KEEP AMERICA GREAT! DONALD J. TRUMP, PRESIDENT FOR LIFE! KEEP AMERICA GREAT! DONALD J. TRUMP, PRESIDENT FOR LIFE! KEEP AMERICA GREAT! DONALD J. TRUMP, PRESIDENT FOR LIFE! KEEP AMERICA GREAT! DONALD J. TRUMP, PRESIDENT FOR LIFE! KEEP AMERICA GREAT! DONALD J. TRUMP, PRESIDENT FOR LIFE! KEEP AMERICA GREAT! DONALD J. TRUMP, PRESIDENT FOR LIFE! KEEP AMERICA GREAT! DONALD J. TRUMP, PRESIDENT FOR LIFE! KEEP AMERICA GREAT! DONALD J. TRUMP, PRESIDENT FOR LIFE! KEEP AMERICA GREAT! DONALD J. TRUMP, PRESIDENT FOR LIFE! KEEP AMERICA GREAT! DONALD J. TRUMP, PRESIDENT FOR LIFE! KEEP AMERICA GREAT! DONALD J. TRUMP, PRESIDENT FOR LIFE! KEEP AMERICA GREAT! DONALD J. TRUMP, PRESIDENT FOR LIFE! KEEP AMERICA GREAT! DONALD J. TRUMP, PRESIDENT FOR LIFE! KEEP AMERICA GREAT! DONALD J. TRUMP, PRESIDENT FOR LIFE! KEEP AMERICA GREAT! DONALD J. TRUMP, PRESIDENT FOR LIFE! KEEP AMERICA GREAT! DONALD J. TRUMP, PRESIDENT FOR LIFE! KEEP AMERICA GREAT! DONALD J. TRUMP, PRESIDENT FOR LIFE! KEEP AMERICA GREAT! DONALD J. TRUMP, PRESIDENT FOR LIFE! KEEP AMERICA GREAT! DONALD J. TRUMP, PRESIDENT FOR LIFE! KEEP AMERICA GREAT! DONALD J. TRUMP, PRESIDENT FOR LIFE! KEEP AMERICA GREAT!
chaosXpert (2 months ago)
Cool video
toxik.io (2 months ago)
Data nerds are awesome. I'd be nervous too

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